Tuesday, March 5, 2013

A Correction is Over-Due




A Correction is Over-Due


  The S&P 500 has risen to an important resistance level, as it touches nearly a 5-1/2 year high, and is less than 2% from a record close.

  I have pulled my money out of the market  and have been waiting for a pullback to offer a reentry level at cheaper prices.

  Pulling out of the market as it’s on the way up (Selling Strength) allows me to lock in profits, and then buy more as the market is falling (buying weakness).

  People tend to do the opposite, Buy on the way up, at higher prices because all looks good, then sell on the way down, due to fear or panic, losing money.

  For the health of the market, we need to have that pull-back that we haven’t seen. As the market appears less of a risk to investors coming in now (raising equities), this fights the inevitable pull-back that we need.

  If we watch the market performance recently, it’s been moving up a bit, then pulls back a bit, but on average the trend has been a very painful and slow climb.

  This climb is why I have been suggesting that investors not get in now, and for those that have been in, they should put their money on the sidelines.

  Professional investors have been buying protection against the inevitable pull-back.

  Remember, the market has already provided a 7.5% return in the last two months, so lets not get greedy and lose that gain. Lock in your profits, and put your money on the side to lock in those profits.

  When you see the market pull-back, get back in on the way down.

  Bruce Cortez
05-Mar-2013

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